Школа коэффициентов

Botafogo v Juventude

Начало: 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC

Итог: Botafogo 4–2 Juventude

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Botafogo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.71%2.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.59%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Juventude (Гости)

Прогноз 32.06%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.21%
Преимущество -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.23%3.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.60%
Преимущество -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 00:20
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 23:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 00:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 00:05
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 00:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 23:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 00:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 23:45
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 00:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:19
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:20
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:50
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 23:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 23:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-07-24 00:25