La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC

Finale: Botafogo 4–2 Juventude

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 35.71%2.80quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.06%3.12quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.23%3.10quota equa
EV -4.60%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 00:20
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 23:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 00:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 00:05
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 00:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 23:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 00:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 23:45
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 00:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:19
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:20
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:50
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 23:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 23:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-07-24 00:25