StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Botafogo v Juventude

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Botafogo 4–2 Juventude

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Botafogo (Heim)

Prognose 35.71%2.80faire Quote
EV -3.59%
Vorteil -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.06%3.12faire Quote
EV -2.21%
Vorteil -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.23%3.10faire Quote
EV -4.60%
Vorteil -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Botafogo (Heim): 35.71%; Juventude (Auswärts): 32.06%; Unentschieden: 32.23%. Für Juventude (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.12. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.05, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.21%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 00:20
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 23:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 00:15
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 00:05
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 23:45
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 00:15
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:19
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 00:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 23:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-07-24 00:25