مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Juventude

البداية: 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Botafogo 4–2 Juventude

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.71%2.80السعر العادل
EV -3.59%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Juventude (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.06%3.12السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.23%3.10السعر العادل
EV -4.60%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 00:20
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 00:20
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 23:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 00:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 23:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 00:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 00:05
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 00:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 23:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 00:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 23:45
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 00:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:19
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 00:20
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 23:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:50
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 23:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 23:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 23:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-07-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-07-24 00:25
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-07-24 00:25