Oddsskolan

Velez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys

Matchstart: 2026-05-04 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–1 Newells Old Boys

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma)

Prognos 49.82%2.01rättvist odds
EV -4.34%
Fördel -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Newells Old Boys (Borta)

Prognos 21.71%4.61rättvist odds
EV +5.73%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.085%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.47%3.51rättvist odds
EV +1.06%
Fördel +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:08
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%6.4%2026-05-04 22:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 21:59
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:08
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 22:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 21:56
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 22:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 22:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 22:10
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-04 22:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 21:48
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 21:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82%2.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-04 22:10