L’École des cotesFrançais
Velez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Prévision 49.82%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Newells Old Boys (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.71%4.61cote équitable
EV +5.73%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.085%
avec la cote maximale 4.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.47%3.51cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:03 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 21:56 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |