A Escola das OddsVelez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Previsão 49.82%2.01odd justa
EV -4.34%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Previsão 21.71%4.61odd justa
EV +5.73%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescimento +0.085%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.87
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 28.47%3.51odd justa
EV +1.06%
Vantagem +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Crescimento +0.004%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:03 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 21:56 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |