Szkoła Kursów

Velez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys

Początek: 2026-05-04 22:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–1 Newells Old Boys

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.82%2.01kurs godziwy
EV -4.34%
Przewaga -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Newells Old Boys (Goście)

Prognoza 21.71%4.61kurs godziwy
EV +5.73%
Przewaga +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Wzrost +0.085%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.87

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.47%3.51kurs godziwy
EV +1.06%
Przewaga +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:08
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%6.4%2026-05-04 22:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 21:59
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:08
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 22:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 21:56
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 22:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 22:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 22:10
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-04 22:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 21:48
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 21:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82%2.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-04 22:10