Die Schule der Quoten

Velez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-04 22:15 UTC

Endstand: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–1 Newells Old Boys

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Heim)

Prognose 49.82%2.01faire Quote
EV -4.34%
Vorteil -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Newells Old Boys (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.71%4.61faire Quote
EV +5.73%
Vorteil +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
Wachstum +0.085%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.47%3.51faire Quote
EV +1.06%
Vorteil +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:03
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:08
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%6.4%2026-05-04 22:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 22:04
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 21:59
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 22:08
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 22:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 21:56
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 22:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 22:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:54
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 22:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 22:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 22:10
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-04 22:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 22:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-04 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 21:48
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 21:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-04 22:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-04 22:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82%2.0%2026-05-04 22:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-04 22:10