مدرسة الاحتمالاتVelez Sarsfield BA v Newells Old Boys
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Velez Sarsfield BA (المضيف)
التنبؤ 49.82%2.01السعر العادل
EV -4.34%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -4.72%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.47%50.04%49.67%53.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.49%54.05%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Newells Old Boys (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.71%4.61السعر العادل
EV +5.73%
الأفضلية +1.18%
Kelly +1.48%
النمو +0.085%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.87
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.36%21.60%21.88%23.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.314.204.8726.67%23.21%23.81%20.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.47%3.51السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
النمو +0.004%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.47%28.36%28.46%29.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.273.283.5533.33%30.60%30.49%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.70%EV +5.73%E +1.18%K +1.48%G +0.085% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +4.21%E +0.877%K +1.11%G +0.047% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:03 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.85%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV +2.04%E +0.434%K +0.551%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -0.363%E -0.104%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.34%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV +0.954%E +0.205%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.99%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -0.132%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -3.21%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -2.30%E -0.512%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.52%E -0.561%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.62%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 21:56 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -5.84%E -3.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.65%EV -14.31%E -8.32%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.75%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -13.81%E -7.98%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.16%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.24%E -3.61%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -10.90%E -3.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -7.33%E -3.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.48%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -10.82%E -6.04%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.17%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -18.59%E -4.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |