Szkoła Kursów

Union Santa Fe v Talleres

Początek: 2026-05-02 21:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Talleres

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

38 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Union Santa Fe (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.28%2.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.19%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Talleres (Goście)

Prognoza 24.70%4.05kurs godziwy
EV +2.25%
Przewaga +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.14

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.02%3.33kurs godziwy
EV +0.558%
Przewaga +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-02 21:40
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 21:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 21:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 21:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:36
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:35
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 21:20
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 21:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 21:32
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 21:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00%0.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%3.1%2026-05-02 21:40