La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Union Santa Fe v Talleres
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Union Santa Fe (Casa)
Previsione 45.28%2.21quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Talleres (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.70%4.05quota equa
EV +2.25%
Vantaggio +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
Crescita +0.016%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.14
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV +0.558%
Vantaggio +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 21:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |