L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Union Santa Fe v Talleres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 45.28%2.21cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Talleres (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.70%4.05cote équitable
EV +2.25%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 4.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.558%
Avantage +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 21:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |