Die Schule der Quoten

Union Santa Fe v Talleres

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 21:45 UTC

Endstand: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Talleres

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Union Santa Fe (Heim)

Prognose 45.28%2.21faire Quote
EV -2.19%
Vorteil -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Talleres (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.70%4.05faire Quote
EV +2.25%
Vorteil +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.02%3.33faire Quote
EV +0.558%
Vorteil +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-02 21:40
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 21:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 21:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 21:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:36
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:35
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 21:20
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 21:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 21:32
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 21:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00%0.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-05-02 21:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%3.1%2026-05-02 21:40