La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Union Santa Fe v Talleres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Predicción 45.28%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Talleres (Visitante)
Predicción 24.70%4.05momio equitativo
EV +2.25%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.558%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 21:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |