مدرسة الاحتمالاتUnion Santa Fe v Talleres
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Union Santa Fe (المضيف)
التنبؤ 45.28%2.21السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.54%45.32%45.44%47.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.87%48.78%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Talleres (الضيف)
التنبؤ 24.70%4.05السعر العادل
EV +2.25%
الأفضلية +0.544%
Kelly +0.718%
النمو +0.016%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.14
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.87%24.71%24.51%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.733.734.1429.85%26.79%26.85%24.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 30.02%3.33السعر العادل
EV +0.558%
الأفضلية +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.62%29.97%30.05%30.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.073.103.3535.71%32.58%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.84%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV +2.25%E +0.544%K +0.718%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV +1.27%E +0.309%K +0.408%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.20%E -0.301%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.23%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -1.95%E -0.490%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -2.44%E -0.618%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.55%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.67%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.14%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.61%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.90%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -4.97%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -6.72%E -3.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.55%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.89%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -10.55%E -3.54%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 21:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |