Language:English
Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talleres (Local)
Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +3.20%
Growth +0.159%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%40.92%41.21%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.65%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +0.824%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%26.31%26.03%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.473.503.9633.33%28.82%28.57%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.57%32.77%32.76%33.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.27%35.09%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 41.16%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 26.08%; Draw: 32.76%. For Talleres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV +4.96%E +1.95%K +3.20%G +0.159% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -2.03%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.93%EV -4.92%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -0.125%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.68%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -5.74%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 21:47 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.80%E -3.48%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.13%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.52%EV -12.74%E -6.01%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.97%EV -12.53%E -4.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46% | 1.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.1% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |