La scuola delle quote

Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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26 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Talleres (Casa)

Previsione 39.81%2.51quota equa
EV +0.314%
Vantaggio +0.125%
Kelly +0.207%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.79%39.75%39.75%42.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.322.332.5248.78%43.19%43.01%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.34%3.80quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -0.686%
Kelly -0.940%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.37%26.49%26.38%28.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.443.423.7033.33%29.10%29.28%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.85%2.95quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.631%
Kelly -0.963%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.53%33.75%33.87%35.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.38%36.43%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV +0.314%E +0.125%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -4.54%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 09:20
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV +0.314%E +0.125%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -4.54%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 09:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV -1.28%E -0.515%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -2.87%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 03:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 06:49
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 06:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 05:59
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.01%EV -4.86%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.75%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -8.94%E -3.32%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.31%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -1.83%E -0.631%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 02:49
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -1.83%E -0.631%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.84%E -0.991%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.54%E -0.686%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:04
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:48
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 07:05
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -8.84%E -3.86%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 03:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:04
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -1.83%E -0.631%K -0.963%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -20.98%E -6.99%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -14.41%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 03:04
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.24%EV -15.21%E -7.14%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.61%EV -9.65%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 03:03
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -18.40%E -8.97%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 03:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -18.40%E -8.97%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.37%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.46%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 03:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%4.9%2026-07-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%4.9%2026-07-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.05%5.8%2026-07-26 09:20
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%6.4%2026-07-26 09:10