A Escola das Odds

Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

24 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Talleres (Local)

Previsão 40.51%2.47odd justa
EV +0.464%
Vantagem +0.187%
Kelly +0.313%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.34%40.35%40.50%42.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.282.302.4850.00%43.76%43.48%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)

Previsão 26.18%3.82odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.484%
Kelly -0.660%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%26.23%26.33%28.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.483.7533.33%28.91%28.78%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.31%3.00odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.53%33.42%33.18%35.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.05%35.71%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (24 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 02:54
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 02:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -1.16%E -0.474%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -8.74%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.01%EV -3.18%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -10.40%E -3.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:49
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 02:49
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:15
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 20:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:48
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -8.85%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.81%E -0.484%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:05
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.82%EV -9.66%E -4.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -1.81%E -0.484%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:05
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -14.93%E -7.11%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -15.74%E -7.57%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -11.07%E -4.15%K -6.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 20:18
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -18.98%E -9.49%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.44%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-25 20:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.94%EV -18.98%E -9.49%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.26%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-25 20:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%16.9%2026-07-25 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:15