Langue:Français
Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Talleres (Local)
Prévision 41.16%2.43cote équitable
EV +4.96%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +3.20%
Croissance +0.159%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.83%40.92%41.21%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.65%43.48%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV +3.26%
Avantage +0.824%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.036%
avec la cote maximale 3.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.28%26.31%26.03%30.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.9633.33%28.82%28.57%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.76%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.57%32.77%32.76%33.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.27%35.09%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Talleres (Local) : 41.16% ; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur) : 26.08% ; Match nul : 32.76%. Pour Talleres (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +4.96%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV +4.96%E +1.95%K +3.20%G +0.159% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -2.03%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.93%EV -4.92%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -0.125%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.68%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -5.74%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 21:47 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.80%E -3.48%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.13%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.52%EV -12.74%E -6.01%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.97%EV -12.53%E -4.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46% | 1.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.1% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |