L’École des cotes

Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

24 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talleres (Local)

Prévision 40.51%2.47cote équitable
EV +0.464%
Avantage +0.187%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.34%40.35%40.50%42.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.282.302.4850.00%43.76%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%26.23%26.33%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.483.7533.33%28.91%28.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.31%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.53%33.42%33.18%35.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.05%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 02:54
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 02:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV +0.464%E +0.187%K +0.313%G +0.001%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -1.16%E -0.474%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -8.74%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.01%EV -3.18%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.31%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -10.40%E -3.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:49
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 02:49
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:15
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 20:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:48
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -8.85%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.81%E -0.484%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:05
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.82%EV -9.66%E -4.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -1.81%E -0.484%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:05
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -14.93%E -7.11%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -15.74%E -7.57%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -11.07%E -4.15%K -6.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 20:18
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -18.98%E -9.49%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.44%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-25 20:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.94%EV -18.98%E -9.49%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.26%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-25 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%16.9%2026-07-25 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:15