StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA

Matchstart: 2026-07-30 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Talleres 1–3 Velez Sarsfield BA

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Talleres (Hemma)

Prognos 41.16%2.43rättvist odds
EV +4.96%
Fördel +1.95%
Kelly +3.20%
Tillväxt +0.159%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.83%40.92%41.21%42.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.65%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta)

Prognos 26.08%3.83rättvist odds
EV +3.26%
Fördel +0.824%
Kelly +1.10%
Tillväxt +0.036%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.28%26.31%26.03%30.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.473.503.9633.33%28.82%28.57%25.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.76%3.05rättvist odds
EV -3.03%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.57%32.77%32.76%33.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.27%35.09%33.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Talleres (Hemma): 41.16%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta): 26.08%; Oavgjort: 32.76%. För Talleres (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.43. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.96%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV +4.96%E +1.95%K +3.20%G +0.159%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:54
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -2.03%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 21:44
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.93%EV -4.92%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -0.125%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.68%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 21:50
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 21:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 21:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 21:54
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 21:39
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 21:39
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -5.74%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 21:47
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:50
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:50
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 21:48
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 21:49
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.80%E -3.48%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 21:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 21:49
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-30 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.13%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-30 21:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-30 21:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.52%EV -12.74%E -6.01%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.97%EV -12.53%E -4.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-30 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-30 21:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%0.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%0.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%0.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%3.1%2026-07-30 21:45