语言:简体中文
Talleres v Velez Sarsfield BA
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Talleres (主队)
预测 41.16%2.43公平赔率
EV +4.96%
优势 +1.95%
Kelly +3.20%
增长率 +0.159%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
36.83%40.92%41.21%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.65%43.48%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Velez Sarsfield BA (客队)
预测 26.08%3.83公平赔率
EV +3.26%
优势 +0.824%
Kelly +1.10%
增长率 +0.036%
假设最高赔率为 3.96
博彩公司预测分布
24.28%26.31%26.03%30.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.473.503.9633.33%28.82%28.57%25.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.76%3.05公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.96
博彩公司预测分布
31.57%32.77%32.76%33.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.672.842.852.9637.45%35.27%35.09%33.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Talleres (主队)：41.16%；Velez Sarsfield BA (客队)：26.08%；平局：32.76%。 对于“Talleres (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+4.96%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV +4.96%E +1.95%K +3.20%G +0.159% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV +2.91%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.056% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -20.47%E -6.71%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -2.03%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -4.50%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.93%EV -4.92%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -0.125%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.68%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -5.74%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 21:47 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.80%E -3.48%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.13%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-30 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.52%EV -12.74%E -6.01%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.97%EV -12.53%E -4.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46% | 1.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.1% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |