預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente v Newells Old Boys

開賽時間: 2026-07-31 00:15 UTC

最終賽果: Independiente 1–0 Newells Old Boys

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente (主隊)

預測 60.59%1.65公平賠率
EV -2.45%
優勢 -1.52%
Kelly -4.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.61

博彩公司預測分布
58.66%60.55%60.58%62.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.431.541.551.6169.93%64.96%64.52%62.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Newells Old Boys (客隊)

預測 15.10%6.62公平賠率
EV +2.71%
優勢 +0.398%
Kelly +0.467%
成長率 +0.013%

假設最高賠率為 6.80

博彩公司預測分布
14.04%15.04%15.08%16.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.606.216.056.8017.86%16.10%16.53%14.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.30%4.11公平賠率
EV -0.356%
優勢 -0.087%
Kelly -0.115%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
23.41%24.41%24.34%27.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.62%26.32%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Independiente (主隊):60.59%;Newells Old Boys (客隊):15.10%;和局:24.30%。 對於「Newells Old Boys (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.62的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.80,對應+2.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.16%EV +2.71%E +0.398%K +0.467%G +0.013%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.72%EV -1.33%E -0.327%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 00:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -3.05%E -1.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 00:04
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.84%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 00:10
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.10%EV -4.24%E -0.669%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.69%E -4.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.56%EV -12.14%E -8.37%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.87%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-30 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.00%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 23:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 00:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -13.35%E -9.34%K -31.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-31 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.37%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-30 23:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -12.40%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.15%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -9.72%E -6.52%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.42%E -2.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 23:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.74%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-07-31 00:05