StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente v Newells Old Boys

Matchstart: 2026-07-31 00:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Independiente 1–0 Newells Old Boys

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente (Hemma)

Prognos 60.59%1.65rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -1.52%
Kelly -4.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.66%60.55%60.58%62.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.541.551.6169.93%64.96%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Borta)

Prognos 15.10%6.62rättvist odds
EV +2.71%
Fördel +0.398%
Kelly +0.467%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.04%15.04%15.08%16.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.606.216.056.8017.86%16.10%16.53%14.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.30%4.11rättvist odds
EV -0.356%
Fördel -0.087%
Kelly -0.115%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.41%24.41%24.34%27.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.62%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Independiente (Hemma): 60.59%; Newells Old Boys (Borta): 15.10%; Oavgjort: 24.30%. För Newells Old Boys (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.62. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.71%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.16%EV +2.71%E +0.398%K +0.467%G +0.013%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.72%EV -1.33%E -0.327%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 00:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -3.05%E -1.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 00:04
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.84%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 00:10
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.10%EV -4.24%E -0.669%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.69%E -4.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.56%EV -12.14%E -8.37%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.87%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-30 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.00%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 23:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 00:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -13.35%E -9.34%K -31.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-31 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.37%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-30 23:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -12.40%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.15%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -9.72%E -6.52%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.42%E -2.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 23:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-31 00:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.74%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-07-31 00:05