La scuola delle quote

Independiente v Newells Old Boys

2026-07-31 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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24 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente (Casa)

Previsione 54.06%1.85quota equa
EV -4.32%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.96%53.98%54.11%54.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.701.711.7763.69%58.79%58.48%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.10%5.53quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.422%
Kelly -0.518%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.55%18.16%18.13%20.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.005.005.4023.09%20.00%20.00%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.85%3.59quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.14%27.85%27.76%28.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.303.4532.26%30.29%30.30%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 16:59
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.28%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.630%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 07:14
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.28%E -0.422%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 00:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.28%E -0.422%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 00:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.42%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 16:24
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:50
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 08:09
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 07:14
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -5.90%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 00:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 00:25
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 16:23
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 13:45
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:25
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 00:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 10:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.73%E -5.82%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -21.64%E -5.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-17 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.95%EV -11.35%E -6.92%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -14.94%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -12.97%E -8.06%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.86%EV -11.33%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.51%EV -14.59%E -9.24%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.22%EV -20.37%E -4.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-25 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.88%EV -15.13%E -9.64%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.77%EV -12.23%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 53.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.56%16.7%2026-07-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:30