Lingua:Italiano
Independiente v Newells Old Boys
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Independiente (Casa)
Previsione 60.59%1.65quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -4.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.66%60.55%60.58%62.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.541.551.6169.93%64.96%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.10%6.62quota equa
EV +2.71%
Vantaggio +0.398%
Kelly +0.467%
Crescita +0.013%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.04%15.04%15.08%16.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.216.056.8017.86%16.10%16.53%14.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 24.30%4.11quota equa
EV -0.356%
Vantaggio -0.087%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.41%24.41%24.34%27.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.62%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Independiente (Casa): 60.59%; Newells Old Boys (Trasferta): 15.10%; Pareggio: 24.30%. Per Newells Old Boys (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.62. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.71%.
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.16%EV +2.71%E +0.398%K +0.467%G +0.013% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.72%EV -1.33%E -0.327%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -3.05%E -1.91%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.84%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.10%EV -4.24%E -0.669%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.69%E -4.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.56%EV -12.14%E -8.37%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.87%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.00%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -13.35%E -9.34%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.37%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -12.40%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.15%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -9.72%E -6.52%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.42%E -2.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.74% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |