Język:Polski
Independiente v Newells Old Boys
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Independiente (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 60.59%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -1.52%
Kelly -4.01%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.66%60.55%60.58%62.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.541.551.6169.93%64.96%64.52%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Newells Old Boys (Goście)
Prognoza 15.10%6.62kurs godziwy
EV +2.71%
Przewaga +0.398%
Kelly +0.467%
Wzrost +0.013%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.04%15.04%15.08%16.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.606.216.056.8017.86%16.10%16.53%14.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 24.30%4.11kurs godziwy
EV -0.356%
Przewaga -0.087%
Kelly -0.115%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.41%24.41%24.34%27.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.62%26.32%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Independiente (Gospodarze): 60.59%; Newells Old Boys (Goście): 15.10%; Remis: 24.30%. Dla wyniku Newells Old Boys (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.62. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.71%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.16%EV +2.71%E +0.398%K +0.467%G +0.013% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.72%EV -1.33%E -0.327%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -2.45%E -1.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +1.95%E +0.289%K +0.339%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.38%EV +1.65%E +0.245%K +0.288%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -0.356%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -3.05%E -1.91%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.83%E -0.281%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.84%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.74%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -3.34%E -0.521%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -18.58%E -5.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.26%E -2.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.10%EV -4.24%E -0.669%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.30%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.69%E -4.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.60%E -0.896%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.56%EV -12.14%E -8.37%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.87%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.00%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.87%E -3.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.29%E -4.77%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.90%E -5.20%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -13.35%E -9.34%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-31 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.37%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -12.40%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.11%E -6.07%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.15%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -9.72%E -6.52%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.42%E -2.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 23:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.05% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.74% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |