La escuela de los momiosIndependiente v Newells Old Boys
Resultado del partido
Independiente (Local)
Predicción 54.06%1.85momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -5.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.96%53.98%54.11%54.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.701.711.7763.69%58.79%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Predicción 18.10%5.53momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -0.518%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.55%18.16%18.13%20.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.005.005.4023.09%20.00%20.00%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%27.85%27.76%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.303.303.4532.26%30.29%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (24 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.28%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.630%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 04:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.28%E -0.422%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 00:40 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.28%E -0.422%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 00:40 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.42%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 16:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 08:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 04:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -5.90%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 00:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -4.99%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 16:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 13:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-24 10:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.73%E -5.82%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -21.64%E -5.00%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-17 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.95%EV -11.35%E -6.92%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -14.94%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -12.97%E -8.06%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.86%EV -11.33%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.51%EV -14.59%E -9.24%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.22%EV -20.37%E -4.63%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-07-25 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.88%EV -15.13%E -9.64%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.77%EV -12.23%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-25 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.21% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.56% | 16.7% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-26 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-26 00:30 |