Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 58.62%1.71fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 41.38%2.42fair odd
EV +0.136%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.62%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 41.38%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.417. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.420, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.136%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
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