النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-03 22:41 UTC — MLB

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.61%1.74السعر العادل
EV -2.07%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.96%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.70%57.70%57.59%58.97%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.60%60.61%58.82%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.39%2.36السعر العادل
EV -0.372%
الأفضلية -0.158%
Kelly -0.275%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%42.30%42.41%43.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.40%44.44%42.55%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)⁩: ⁨57.61%⁩؛ ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩: ⁨42.39%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.36⁩. لا تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى: أفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨2.35⁩، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها ⁨-0.372%⁩؛ ولا ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.07%E -1.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 02:35
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.07%E -1.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.07%E -0.895%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.372%E -0.158%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-02 21:45
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.372%E -0.158%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 02:33
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 20:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:40
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:25
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.19%E -1.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.04%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 02:35
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.46%E -2.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 01:55
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:45
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 01:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 23:54
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.04%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:34
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 01:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:45
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 01:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 02:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 02:49
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.26%E -4.51%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.26%E -4.51%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:48
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 23:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.56%E -6.09%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 03:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 03:29
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-03 04:35
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-08-03 04:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-08-03 04:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%8.8%2026-08-03 03:50