Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-08-03 22:41 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 58.62%1.71quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.38%2.42quota equa
EV +0.136%
Vantaggio +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Philadelphia Phillies (Casa): 58.62%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 41.38%. Per Washington Nationals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.417. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.420, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.136%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-03 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:59
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 22:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:13
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:39
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 18:59
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:00
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 19:05
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-08-03 22:35