StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-03 22:41 UTC

Endstand: Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Washington Nationals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies (Heim)

Prognose 58.62%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.52%
Vorteil -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.38%2.42faire Quote
EV +0.136%
Vorteil +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Philadelphia Phillies (Heim): 58.62%; Washington Nationals (Auswärts): 41.38%. Für Washington Nationals (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.417. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.420 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.136%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-03 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:59
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 22:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:13
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:39
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 18:59
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:00
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 19:05
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-08-03 22:35