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Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 58.62%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 41.38%2.42momio equitativo
EV +0.136%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.62%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 41.38%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.417. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.420, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.136%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |