语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 58.62%1.71公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 41.38%2.42公平赔率
EV +0.136%
优势 +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.42
博彩公司预测分布
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：58.62%；Washington Nationals (客队)：41.38%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.417。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.420，对应+0.136%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 22:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |