Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-03 22:41 UTC — MLB

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.61%1.74kurs godziwy
EV -2.07%
Przewaga -1.22%
Kelly -2.96%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.70%57.70%57.59%58.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.60%60.61%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 42.39%2.36kurs godziwy
EV -0.372%
Przewaga -0.158%
Kelly -0.275%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.03%42.30%42.41%43.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.40%44.44%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 57.61%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 42.39%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.36. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.35, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.372%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.07%E -1.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 02:35
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.07%E -1.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.07%E -0.895%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.372%E -0.158%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-02 21:45
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.372%E -0.158%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 02:33
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 20:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:40
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.22%E -1.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:25
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.19%E -1.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.80%E -2.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.04%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 02:35
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.46%E -2.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 01:55
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:45
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 01:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:34
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 23:54
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.04%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:34
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.95%E -3.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 01:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:45
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.88%E -2.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 01:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.10%E -3.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 03:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.61%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 02:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.68%E -4.12%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 02:49
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.26%E -4.51%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.26%E -4.51%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:48
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.49%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.83%E -4.89%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.85%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 23:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.56%E -6.09%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.73%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 03:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (9)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 03:29
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-03 04:35
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-03 03:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-08-03 04:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-08-03 04:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%8.8%2026-08-03 03:50