Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Początek: 2026-08-03 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Washington Nationals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.62%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.52%
Przewaga -0.902%
Kelly -2.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.65%58.67%59.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.20%61.35%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 41.38%2.42kurs godziwy
EV +0.136%
Przewaga +0.056%
Kelly +0.096%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.45%41.35%41.33%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.39%43.48%41.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 58.62%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 41.38%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.417. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.420, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.136%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.096%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-03 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.288%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 22:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.52%E -0.638%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.93%E -0.816%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:59
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.52%E -0.902%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 22:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:13
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.59%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:39
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 18:59
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:00
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:19
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.66%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-03 22:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 19:05
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-03 22:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-03 22:25
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-08-03 22:35