Language:English
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 61.93%1.61fair odd
EV -0.915%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 38.07%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 19:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 19:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |