Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-16 19:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.07%59.04%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.611.6765.36%61.91%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -0.503%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.93%40.96%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4345.45%42.73%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.05%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 40.95%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -0.503%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-15 22:59
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 18:49
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 18:24
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -4.19%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.38%E -0.825%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:49
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.503%E -0.207%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 21:03
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 23:54
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:24
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 00:33
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.19%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.60%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:04
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 22:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 01:17
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:18
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.19%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.60%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.73%E -0.721%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:09
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:03
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.42%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:54
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.87%E -5.05%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.65%E -6.30%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-15 20:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-15 22:35
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-16 00:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-16 01:45
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-16 01:45
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%7.6%2026-08-16 01:40

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