Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-08-16 19:16 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

62%

38%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 61.93%1.61quota equa

EV -0.915%

Vantaggio -0.572%

Kelly -1.53%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.07%2.63quota equa

EV +1.27%

Vantaggio +0.478%

Kelly +0.766%

Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chicago Cubs (Casa): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta): 38.07%. Per St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.63. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.66, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.27%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
DraftKings🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010%	3.4%	2026-08-16 19:15
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005%	1.8%	2026-08-16 19:09
GTbets🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-16 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-16 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-16 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%	1.4%	2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-16 19:14
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-16 19:10
BetAnything🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-16 19:14
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-16 13:14
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-16 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-16 19:05
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-16 19:14
1xBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-16 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:14
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-16 19:14
TAB🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-16 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-16 19:13
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-16 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-16 18:49
Casumo🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-16 18:49
betPARX🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-16 18:49
Bet Right🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 19:10
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 19:09
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 19:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 13:19
TABtouch🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:14
SportsBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-16 19:15
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 19:10
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 19:09
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-16 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-16 19:12
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 18:39
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-16 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 19:15
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-16 19:14
betano_uk🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-16 19:15

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-08-16 14:50
Polymarket◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-08-16 13:20
Matchbook◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%	1.2%	2026-08-16 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%	1.2%	2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%	1.2%	2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%	1.2%	2026-08-16 19:15
ProphetX◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%	1.8%	2026-08-16 19:15
BetOpenly◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%	2.0%	2026-08-16 19:14
Smarkets◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%	2.3%	2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%	2.6%	2026-08-16 19:15