Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 19:16 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 61.93%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.915%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 61.93% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 38.07%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.66, soit une espérance positive de +1.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.8%2026-08-16 19:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:14
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 13:14
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:14
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:14
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 14:50
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-08-16 19:15
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-16 19:14
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-16 19:15