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Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 61.93%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.915%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 38.07%2.63momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 38.07%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 19:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 19:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |