StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 19:16 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 61.93%1.61faire Quote
EV -0.915%
Vorteil -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.07%2.63faire Quote
EV +1.27%
Vorteil +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts): 38.07%. Für St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.63. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.66 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.27%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.8%2026-08-16 19:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:14
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 13:14
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:14
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:14
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 14:50
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-08-16 19:15
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-16 19:14
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-16 19:15