Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Początek: 2026-08-16 19:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.93%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -0.915%
Przewaga -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

St. Louis Cardinals (Goście)

Prognoza 38.07%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +1.27%
Przewaga +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Goście): 38.07%. Dla wyniku St. Louis Cardinals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.63. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.66, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.27%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.8%2026-08-16 19:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:14
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 13:14
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:14
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:14
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 14:50
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-08-16 19:15
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-16 19:14
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-16 19:15