StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chicago Cubs (Hemma)

Prognos 61.93%1.61rättvist odds
EV -0.915%
Fördel -0.572%
Kelly -1.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.49%61.67%62.03%63.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.63%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Borta)

Prognos 38.07%2.63rättvist odds
EV +1.27%
Fördel +0.478%
Kelly +0.766%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.36%38.33%37.97%40.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.26%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Chicago Cubs (Hemma): 61.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Borta): 38.07%. För St. Louis Cardinals (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.63. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.66, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.27%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +1.27%E +0.478%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV +0.891%E +0.336%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.8%2026-08-16 19:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.129%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.632%E -0.242%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.53%E -0.965%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-16 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.390%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:14
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.16%E -0.839%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 13:14
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.92%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:14
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -4.06%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 19:14
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.15%E -1.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 19:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:49
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 19:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.49%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.63%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.39%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.915%E -0.572%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 19:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 14:50
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-16 19:15
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-08-16 19:15
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-16 19:14
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-16 19:15