Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 86.15%1.16fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
McCartney Kessler (Visit)
Prediction 13.85%7.22fair odd
EV +10.80%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.167%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 86.15%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 13.85%. For McCartney Kessler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.22. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 06:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 04:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 09:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 11:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |