مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

البداية: 2026-07-01 12:09 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 86.15%1.16السعر العادل
EV -2.65%
الأفضلية -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

McCartney Kessler (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.85%7.22السعر العادل
EV +10.80%
الأفضلية +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
النمو +0.167%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167%3.4%2026-06-30 10:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-01 06:49
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017%3.5%2026-07-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-01 04:50
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:48
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:40
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 07:29
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:00
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:29
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:00
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:28
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:19
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:19
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:38
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:48
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-07-01 11:39
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00