Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

Inizio: 2026-07-01 12:09 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 86.15%1.16quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.85%7.22quota equa
EV +10.80%
Vantaggio +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescita +0.167%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 86.15%; McCartney Kessler (Trasferta): 13.85%. Per McCartney Kessler (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.22. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.80%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167%3.4%2026-06-30 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-01 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017%3.5%2026-07-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-01 04:50
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:50
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:48
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:00
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:29
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:00
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:28
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:19
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:19
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:59
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-07-01 11:39
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00