Die Wettquotenschule

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 12:09 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 86.15%1.16faire Quote
EV -2.65%
Vorteil -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

McCartney Kessler (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.85%7.22faire Quote
EV +10.80%
Vorteil +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Wachstum +0.167%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167%3.4%2026-06-30 10:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-01 06:49
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017%3.5%2026-07-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-01 04:50
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:48
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:40
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 07:29
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:00
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:29
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:00
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:28
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:19
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:19
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:38
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:48
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-07-01 11:39
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00