Школа коэффициентов

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

Начало: 2026-07-01 12:09 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 86.15%1.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.65%
Преимущество -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

McCartney Kessler (Гости)

Прогноз 13.85%7.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.80%
Преимущество +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Рост +0.167%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167%3.4%2026-06-30 10:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-01 06:49
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017%3.5%2026-07-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-01 04:50
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:48
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:40
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 07:29
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:00
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:29
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:00
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:28
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:19
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:19
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:38
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:48
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-07-01 11:39
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00