Szkoła Kursów

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

Początek: 2026-07-01 12:09 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 86.15%1.16kurs godziwy
EV -2.65%
Przewaga -2.35%
Kelly -20.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.13

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
84.15%86.18%86.21%87.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.90%90.91%88.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

McCartney Kessler (Goście)

Prognoza 13.85%7.22kurs godziwy
EV +10.80%
Przewaga +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Wzrost +0.167%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.09%13.82%13.79%15.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.006.816.758.0016.67%14.68%14.81%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.80%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.167%3.4%2026-06-30 10:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +5.26%E +0.692%K +0.796%G +0.042%4.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-01 06:49
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.87%E +0.516%K +0.596%G +0.023%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.05%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.95%EV +3.32%E +0.445%K +0.514%G +0.017%3.5%2026-07-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.10%E +0.151%K +0.175%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-01 04:50
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.284%E -0.039%K -0.046%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.64%E -0.375%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:48
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:00
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:40
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:00
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 07:29
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 11:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.05%E -0.436%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:00
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.75%E -0.539%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:29
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.11%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -4.72%E -0.685%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.80%EV -4.85%E -0.707%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 11:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 11:00
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.59%K -67.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.52%E -0.965%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:28
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:19
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.59%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:19
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:38
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.44%K -86.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 09:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.37%E -3.94%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.67%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -12.33%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.51%E -3.14%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.65%E -2.35%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.23%E -4.76%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.90%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 09:48
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-07-01 11:39
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-01 12:00