语言:简体中文
Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Maria Timofeeva (主队)
预测 26.95%3.71公平赔率
EV +2.16%
优势 +0.569%
Kelly +0.773%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 3.79
博彩公司预测分布
25.25%26.90%27.08%28.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.483.503.7930.77%28.77%28.57%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Elise Mertens (客队)
预测 73.05%1.37公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -2.14%
Kelly -8.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
71.12%73.10%72.92%74.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.311.301.3380.00%76.44%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Maria Timofeeva (主队)：26.95%；Elise Mertens (客队)：73.05%。 对于“Maria Timofeeva (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.71。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.79，对应+2.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83%EV +2.16%E +0.569%K +0.773%G +0.017% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.270%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.89%E -0.519%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.594%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 08:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |