Język:Polski
Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Maria Timofeeva (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 26.95%3.71kurs godziwy
EV +2.16%
Przewaga +0.569%
Kelly +0.773%
Wzrost +0.017%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.79
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.25%26.90%27.08%28.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.483.503.7930.77%28.77%28.57%26.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Elise Mertens (Goście)
Prognoza 73.05%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -2.85%
Przewaga -2.14%
Kelly -8.63%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.12%73.10%72.92%74.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.311.301.3380.00%76.44%76.92%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Maria Timofeeva (Gospodarze): 26.95%; Elise Mertens (Goście): 73.05%. Dla wyniku Maria Timofeeva (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.71. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.79, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.16%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83%EV +2.16%E +0.569%K +0.773%G +0.017% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.270%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.89%E -0.519%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.594%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 08:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |