StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 15:02 UTC

Endstand: Maria Timofeeva 0–2 Elise Mertens

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maria Timofeeva (Heim)

Prognose 26.95%3.71faire Quote
EV +2.16%
Vorteil +0.569%
Kelly +0.773%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.25%26.90%27.08%28.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.483.503.7930.77%28.77%28.57%26.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Auswärts)

Prognose 73.05%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.85%
Vorteil -2.14%
Kelly -8.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.12%73.10%72.92%74.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.311.301.3380.00%76.44%76.92%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Maria Timofeeva (Heim): 26.95%; Elise Mertens (Auswärts): 73.05%. Für Maria Timofeeva (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.71. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.79 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83%EV +2.16%E +0.569%K +0.773%G +0.017%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 14:40
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.270%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:25
DraftKings🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.89%E -0.519%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:25
SportsBet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.594%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 03:05
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 12:00
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 03:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:50
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:31
GTbets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 09:30
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 06:15
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 10:15
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 03:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 03:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 08:15
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:45
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:30
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:10
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 03:05
Betsson🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:22
NordicBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:22
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 02:10
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:15
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 11:55
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 08:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:25
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:40
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 05:31
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 01:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-09-03 14:40
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%2.7%2026-09-03 14:55